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Hussman Named "Best Bear Market Money Manager Around" by Money Magazine
In the May issue of Money magazine, they name John Hussman as the Best Bear Market Money Manager Around. The article points to the major advantage of Hussman’s Strategic Growth fund (HSGFX) as being:
Portfolio Update - 03/31/09
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements . Dear clients, As of the close of the first quarter, all of your accounts are up for the year and beating the indexes by a substantial margin. Here is how my performance has stacked up compared to the averages as of the 3/31/09:
Portfolio Update - 02/28/09
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements . Dear Clients, The following is my Performance Update and Outlook for February. All prices and returns are as of 2/28/09.
Portfolio Update - 01/31/09
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements . Dear Clients, The following is my Performance Update and Outlook for January. All prices and returns are as of 1/31/09.
PART I: INTRODUCTIONJanuary, which has historically been a very strong month for equities, saw the S&P 500 deliver its worst January performance on record (source: CBS marketwatch.com) Over the past 12 months, numerous market myths have been destroyed such as:
- Market always go up in election years…
- Over time, investors can count on an average return of 10% from equties…
- The Santa Clause Rally supports stock prices in November through January…
- In bear markets, stocks typically bottom in September or October…
- Don’t fight the Fed…
The Wall Street sales machine will be forced back to the drawing board as their clients are growing weary of the lies perpetuated by their financial advisors. Unfortunately for the few clients who stick with the large firms, these titans of finance will be slow to adapt making room for agile advisers who can easily implement new strategies and tactics. For over a decade, Buy and Hold and Efficient Market Theory/Modern Portfolio Theory have failed. Eventually investors will abandon these flawed ideologies and seek new solutions for their retirement dollars.
PART II: ACCOUNT PERFORMANCEHere is how my performance measured up to the averages as of January 30th of 2009:
| PORTFOLIO | YTD | 2008 | 2007 |
| MAC’s Core Portfolio | 7.6% | (8.0%) | 12.5% |
| MAC’s Focus IRA Portfolio1 | 11.2% | (7.3%) | 11.0% |
| MAC’s Focus Margin Portfolio1 | 5.8% | 58.2% | 15.0% |
| S&P 500 (VFINX) | (8.4%) | (37.0%) | 5.4% |
| NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) | (2.3%) | (41.7%) | 19.1 |
| Benchmark | (3.4%) | (19.9%) | 8.5% |
- We implement our Focus Portfolio inside of IRA accounts and margin accounts. In margin accounts, we are able to short sell individual securities providing us with greater opportunities to profit when stocks prices decline. The risk with short selling securities is substantial as it can result in losing more than a 100% of your initial investment. The performance dispersion of our margin accounts is greater than in our IRA accounts due to margin requirements, tax-loss selling and ability to borrow shares to sell short.
We are having a very profitable start to 2009 outperforming my benchmark by 11.0% in the Core Portfolio and 14.6% in my Focus Portfolio – but we had a profitable start to 2008 as well and still suffered losses by year end so I am not taking anything for granted. The good news is that I’ve almost wiped out last year’s losses already. The better news is that the changes I’ve implemented to my Portfolio Management Process (PMP) are working beautifully. Since I began implementing my new trading system in November, your account performance has been as follows:
| PORTFOLIO | NOV | DEC | JAN | Cumulative |
| MAC’s Core Portfolio | 11.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 25.2% |
| MAC’s Focus Portfolio | 13.0% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 29.2% |
| Wilshire 5000 (VTSMX)1 | (7.2%) | 1.0% | (7.2%) | (12.9%) |
Since November, the stock market has experienced two down months and one up, yet we have achieved positive returns in all three months. Over that time, my Core Portfolio has outperformed the Wilshire 5000 index by over 38%! Of course three months does not make a sustainable trend. Just because I’ve done well over this short period of time does not guarantee that I will continue to be able to do so.
Portfolio Update - 01/31/09
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements . Dear Clients, The following is my Performance Update and Outlook for January. All prices and returns are as of 1/31/09.
PART I: INTRODUCTION
Last month saw the S&P 500 deliver its worst January performance on record (source: CBS marketwatch.com) Over the past 12 months, numerous market myths have been destroyed such as:
- Market always go up in election years…
- Over time, investors can count on an average return of 10% from equties…
- The Santa Clause Rally supports stock prices in November through January…
- In bear markets, stocks typically bottom in September or October…
- Don’t fight the Fed…
The Wall Street sales machine will be forced back to the drawing board as their clients are growing weary of the lies perpetuated by their financial advisors. Unfortunately for the few clients who stick with the large firms, these titans of finance will be slow to adapt making room for agile advisers who can easily implement new strategies and tactics. For over a decade, Buy and Hold and Efficient Market Theory/Modern Portfolio Theory have failed. Eventually investors will abandon these flawed ideologies and seek new solutions for their retirement dollars.
PART II: ACCOUNT PERFORMANCE
Here is how my performance measured up to the averages as of January 30th of 2009:
| PORTFOLIO | YTD | 2008 | 2007 |
| MAC’s Core Portfolio | 7.6% | (8.0%) | 12.5% |
| MAC’s Focus Portfolio | 11.2% | (7.3%) | 11.0% |
| MAC’s Ave. Margin Acct1 | 6.2% | 39.6% | 18.3% |
| S&P 500 (VFINX) | (8.4%) | (37.0%) | 5.4% |
| NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) | (2.3%) | (41.7%) | 19.1 |
| Benchmark | (3.4%) | (19.9%) | 8.5% |
- Average Margin Account performance is simply an average of all of MAC’s margin accounts under discretionary management. There is significant disparity in the performance in these accounts as they are invested in one of MAC’s three primary strategies (Core, Focus or Income). For example, in 2008, the difference between the best and worst account performance was 37.2%. (Best performer returned 60.4% and lowest returned 23.2%) The purpose of exhibiting this information is to show the adviser’s ability to use margin in an account which it does not do in its normal portfolios. The firm does short sell securities in its margin accounts which carries significant risk as it can result in losses in excess to your original investment.
We are having a very profitable start to 2009 outperforming my benchmark by 11.0% in the Core Portfolio and 14.6% in my Focus Portfolio – but we had a profitable start to 2008 as well and still suffered losses by year end so I am not taking anything for granted. The good news is that I’ve almost wiped out last year’s losses already. The better news is that the changes I’ve implemented to my Portfolio Management Process (PMP) are working beautifully. Since I began implementing my new trading system in November, your account performance has been as follows:
| PORTFOLIO | NOV | DEC | JAN | Cumulative |
| MAC’s Core Portfolio | 11.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 25.2% |
| MAC’s Focus Portfolio | 13.0% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 29.2% |
| Wilshire 5000 (VTSMX) | (7.2%) | 1.0% | (7.2%) | (12.9%) |
Since November, the stock market has experienced two down months and one up, yet we have achieved positive returns in all three months. Over that time, my Core Portfolio has outperformed the Wilshire 5000 index by over 38%! Of course three months does not make a sustainable trend. Just because I’ve done well over this short period of time does not guarantee that I will continue to be able to do so.
The End (of Wall Street’s Boom) by Michael Lewis
Michael Lewis recently wrote an article appearing in Conde Nast’s Portfolio.com titled The End which details the root cause of the credit crisis and the ensuing collapse of Wall Street firms like Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch. It is a must read by all. When I shorted financials starting in April of ’07, I did not realize how bad things really were, I just knew that whatever the investment banks were doing was not sustainable. I had no idea how the mortgage/CDO market became so enormous and so out of whack. This article does a remarkable job of explaining how such a massive dislocation happened and why. You can read The End of Wall Street’s Boom by clicking on the link.
Portfolio Update - 12/31/08
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements . Dear clients, We finished off the year strong yet I was unable to get your accounts into the black for 2008. Our losses were far less than the great majority of investors, yet I am disappointed in having experienced any losses at all. Here is how my performance has stacked up compared to the averages:
Portfolio Update - 12/31/08
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements . Dear clients, We finished off the year strong yet I was unable to get your accounts into the black for 2008. Our losses were far less than the great majority of investors, yet I am disappointed in having experienced any losses at all. Here is how my performance has stacked up compared to the averages:
Why there is little Hope for Homeowners
Why there is no real solution for the housing market…
There is no quick fix for the housing market for two reasons. First, the investment/speculative demand created over the past decade for homes and mortgage notes caused a massive oversupply of homes which has resulted in their being simply more homes than there are people to live in them. Second, since homes are an extremely durable good, it will be several decades if not generations before the excess supply is worked off.
Why GM, Ford and Chrysler will be bailed out?
By proceeding, I acknowledge that I have read and understood the Disclaimer, Performance Reporting Disclosure and Copyright Statements .
I’ll start this post with a multiple choice question. The government will bail out GM and the other Big 3 for which of the following reasons?
