Blog

After a "historic" turnaround yesterday, where the S&P 500 gained over 5% from its lows, the stock market gave back nearly all those gains today. From top to bottom, the S&P 500 fell 3.6% today. The market volatility has reached asinine...Read more

Stock market pundits often quote 8 - 10% as the average annual historical gains in the stock market. Thus, the stock market jumped over half of one's year average annual gains in a single day. That is all.Read more

Over the past few weeks, I have found myself telling concerned clients and friends, "If you ain't scared, you ain't paying attention." The volatility in the stock market has become nauseating. This year, there have been six declines of 10% or more...Read more

Starting with QE in 2010, the stock market started to see a series of incredibly quick V-bottoms. While bottoms were violent affairs in which losses were quickly recovered, tops were gradual, slow-moving events. But that has all changed in this...Read more

- Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth - Mike Tyson Capital markets are doing their best "Iron Mike" impersonation by punching equities right in the mouth. The S&P 500 has now joined the NASDAQ and long-term US Treasuries in...Read more

Our capitulation indicator is finally giving us some buys off the lows from last Thursday. I was surprised that I received so few signals over the past several months but they are finally trickling in. After six straight weeks of decline, it is...Read more

Disclosure: We currently own DBA, WEAT, and various wheat futures contracts (ZW and YW) in our client accounts. On the news out of India that they will severely curb wheat exports, prices for wheat on the futures exchanges went "limit up" again...Read more

There is blood in the streets in capital markets the world over. Bitcoin is down over 20% in less than one week. Long-term US Treasuries are now firmly entrenched in bear market territory. The stock market saw an incredible reversal last week after...Read more