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Performance Report: 08/31/2022

September 1, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Performance Report: 08/31/2022 By continuing on this page, you agree to the disclosure statements on our disclosure page which can be viewed by clicking here . All performance data for our strategies is net of all fees and expenses. All performance...Read more
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Performance Report: 06/30/2022

July 2, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Performance Report: 06/30/2022 By continuing on this page, you agree to the disclosure statements on our disclosure page which can be viewed by clicking here . All performance data for our strategies is net of all fees and expenses. All performance...Read more
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Performance Report - May 2022

May 31, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Performance Report: 05/31/2022 By continuing on this page, you agree to the disclosure statements on our disclosure page which can be viewed by clicking here . All performance data for our strategies is net of all fees and expenses. All performance...Read more
Iron Mike Tyson

It's Official: Equities enter Bear Market Right on Time

May 20, 2022 by Matt McCracken
- Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth - Mike Tyson Capital markets are doing their best "Iron Mike" impersonation by punching equities right in the mouth. The S&P 500 has now joined the NASDAQ and long-term US Treasuries in...Read more
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Market Bottom in place?

May 17, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Our capitulation indicator is finally giving us some buys off the lows from last Thursday. I was surprised that I received so few signals over the past several months but they are finally trickling in. After six straight weeks of decline, it is...Read more
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Wheat "goes limit up" yet again

May 16, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Disclosure: We currently own DBA, WEAT, and various wheat futures contracts (ZW and YW) in our client accounts. On the news out of India that they will severely curb wheat exports, prices for wheat on the futures exchanges went "limit up" again...Read more
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Deleveraging, Deflation or Devaluation

May 9, 2022 by Matt McCracken
There is blood in the streets in capital markets the world over. Bitcoin is down over 20% in less than one week. Long-term US Treasuries are now firmly entrenched in bear market territory. The stock market saw an incredible reversal last week after...Read more
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What if the FED's Interest Rate hikes backfire?

May 4, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Today, the FED raised the overnight borrowing rate by 0.50%, the biggest one-time hike in rates in over 20 years. Conventional wisdom and Economic textbooks tell us that higher rates should lead to stronger demand for a nation's national debt while...Read more
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April Performance Report

April 30, 2022 by Matt McCracken
Performance Report: 04/30/2022 By continuing on this page, you agree to the disclosure statements on our disclosure page which can be viewed by clicking here . All performance data for our strategies is net of all fees and expenses. All performance...Read more
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Quick and Dirty trick for calculating Bond Gains and Losses

April 29, 2022 by Matt McCracken
As interest rates are going up, the question many investors are asking is, "How much will my bond holdings, or my bond-oriented mutual fund, depreciate?" As a general rule, for every 1% increase in interest rates, a bond will depreciate its duration...Read more